Poll Shows Cravaack & Nolan In Dead Heat

Friday, October 12th, 2012 at 6:50 am

Less than four weeks before Election Day, the race for Minnesota’s 8th District Congressional seat is a dead heat.

A recent poll of 578 registered voters who are “likely to vote” was conducted Oct. 7 to Oct. 9. and in that poll, Democratic challenger Rick Nolan showed the slimmest of leads, 46% to 45% over Republican incumbent Chip Cravaack. The SurveyUSA/KSTP poll has a “Margin of Sampling Error” of +/-4.2%, so it’s impossible to say there’s a clear leader.

By almost every measure, these two candidates remain locked in a very tight race. In the poll, voters were also asked which candidate will be strongest on certain key issues. More voters said Cravaack will be stronger on mining issues (34% to 31%) and do more to bring jobs to the district (41% to 38%). On the issue of Medicare, more voters say Nolan will do a better job protecting the program (41% to 36%).

Cravaack has an advantage among independent voters, 53% to 36%, which some experts believe will be a key to him holding the seat. In 2010, Cravaack beat long-time Democratic incumbent Jim Oberstar to capture the 8th District seat. Cravaack also trailed Oberstar by one point in our final 8th District poll two years ago.

1 Comment

  1. Bud 10/27/12 at 5:33pm

    Anyone who works in the natural resource intensive industries of minnesota in the 8th district will certainly be sorry if EPA friendly Rick Nolan is elected. From International Falls to Ely to Duluth to Virginia to Nashwauk-Keewatin, Hibbing, Silver Bay and all points in between. Kiss your jobs goodbye, just a matter of time if that failure happens.

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