Poll Shows Cravaack & Nolan In Dead Heat
Less than four weeks before Election Day, the race for Minnesota’s 8th District Congressional seat is a dead heat.
A recent poll of 578 registered voters who are “likely to vote” was conducted Oct. 7 to Oct. 9. and in that poll, Democratic challenger Rick Nolan showed the slimmest of leads, 46% to 45% over Republican incumbent Chip Cravaack. The SurveyUSA/KSTP poll has a “Margin of Sampling Error” of +/-4.2%, so it’s impossible to say there’s a clear leader.
By almost every measure, these two candidates remain locked in a very tight race. In the poll, voters were also asked which candidate will be strongest on certain key issues. More voters said Cravaack will be stronger on mining issues (34% to 31%) and do more to bring jobs to the district (41% to 38%). On the issue of Medicare, more voters say Nolan will do a better job protecting the program (41% to 36%).
Cravaack has an advantage among independent voters, 53% to 36%, which some experts believe will be a key to him holding the seat. In 2010, Cravaack beat long-time Democratic incumbent Jim Oberstar to capture the 8th District seat. Cravaack also trailed Oberstar by one point in our final 8th District poll two years ago.